{"id":58257,"date":"2022-05-16T08:36:57","date_gmt":"2022-05-16T11:36:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dana.com.br\/canaldana\/?p=58257"},"modified":"2022-05-16T08:36:57","modified_gmt":"2022-05-16T11:36:57","slug":"politica-anticovid-da-china-freia-economia-global-e-afeta-o-brasil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dana.com.br\/canaldana\/2022\/05\/16\/politica-anticovid-da-china-freia-economia-global-e-afeta-o-brasil\/","title":{"rendered":"Pol\u00edtica anticovid da China freia economia global e afeta o Brasil"},"content":{"rendered":"

O Estado de S. Paulo <\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Apol\u00edtica de toler\u00e2ncia zero da China contra a covid-19, com lockdowns em v\u00e1rias regi\u00f5es, fez com que as importa\u00e7\u00f5es e exporta\u00e7\u00f5es do pa\u00eds ca\u00edssem, sobretudo de bens industriais. A desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o chinesa pode pressionar ainda mais a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e reduzir a atividade econ\u00f4mica no mundo. O Brasil tamb\u00e9m est\u00e1 sendo afetado. O desabastecimento vai da falta de insumos para a ind\u00fastria farmac\u00eautica a brinquedos no com\u00e9rcio popular. Segundo a Associa\u00e7\u00e3o de Com\u00e9rcio Exterior do Brasil (AEB), em abril, os pre\u00e7os das importa\u00e7\u00f5es, em d\u00f3lares, subiram 34,4%, com recuo de 6,9% nos volumes.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Se a China trope\u00e7a, o mundo todo sente o impacto. E a China est\u00e1 trope\u00e7ando. A pol\u00edtica de toler\u00e2ncia zero contra a covid-19, com lockdowns espalhados pelo pa\u00eds, acenderam o alerta para a redu\u00e7\u00e3o da atividade na segunda maior economia do mundo. Cidades completamente fechadas significam redu\u00e7\u00e3o das importa\u00e7\u00f5es e inviabilizam as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es \u2013 sobretudo de bens industriais \u2013, o que pode pressionar ainda mais a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e reduzir a atividade econ\u00f4mica em todo o mundo.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Apenas com o lockdown em Xangai, estima-se que a venda de carros na China tenha despencado 48% em abril, na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com igual per\u00edodo de 2021. A cidade \u00e9 respons\u00e1vel por 3,8% do PIB chin\u00eas, mas tem o maior porto de cont\u00eaineres do mundo. Em abril, a Apple informou que a situa\u00e7\u00e3o na China pode lhe custar entre US$ 4 bilh\u00f5es e US$ 8 bilh\u00f5es em vendas perdidas.<\/p>\n

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Diante do cen\u00e1rio, a Santander Asset reviu sua estimativa de PIB para a China de 5% para 4,6%. O Ita\u00fa Unibanco, de 5% para 4,7%. Somado aos impactos da guerra na Ucr\u00e2nia e da alta dos juros nos EUA, a pol\u00edtica chinesa contra a covid deve desacelerar a economia global para algo em torno de 3% (n\u00famero considerado ruim para o PIB global).<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u201cPelo tamanho da China, se ela crescer 4,5% j\u00e1 tem um efeito ruim. Isso n\u00e3o seria t\u00e3o problem\u00e1tico se n\u00e3o houvesse tanta d\u00favida em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 alta dos juros nos EUA. Mas as duas locomotivas do mundo est\u00e3o com quest\u00f5es que significam menos crescimento nos pr\u00f3ximos 18 meses\u201d, diz Eduardo Jarra, economista-chefe da Santander Asset.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Economista-chefe do banco BV, Roberto Padovani diz que a press\u00e3o inflacion\u00e1ria da interrup\u00e7\u00e3o das cadeias de produ\u00e7\u00e3o chinesas tamb\u00e9m pode levar o Fed (banco central dos EUA) a elevar mais rapidamente os juros, refor\u00e7ando a desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o global. (O Estado de S. Paulo\/Luciana Dyniewicz)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O Estado de S. Paulo   Apol\u00edtica de toler\u00e2ncia zero da China contra a covid-19, com lockdowns em v\u00e1rias regi\u00f5es, fez com que as importa\u00e7\u00f5es e exporta\u00e7\u00f5es do pa\u00eds ca\u00edssem, sobretudo de bens industriais. A desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o chinesa pode pressionar ainda mais a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e reduzir a atividade econ\u00f4mica no mundo. O Brasil tamb\u00e9m est\u00e1 sendo\u2026 Leia mais \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-58257","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-mercado"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPol\u00edtica anticovid da China freia economia global e afeta o Brasil - Canal Dana<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dana.com.br\/canaldana\/2022\/05\/16\/politica-anticovid-da-china-freia-economia-global-e-afeta-o-brasil\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pol\u00edtica anticovid da China freia economia global e afeta o Brasil - Canal Dana\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"O Estado de S. 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